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SpaceX Stock's 40% Plunge Exposes the Ugly Truth About Leveraged ETFs

Leveraged ETFs amplified the pain as shares cratered post-IPO.

Michael Thorpe||Source: MarketWatch
SpaceX Stock's 40% Plunge Exposes the Ugly Truth About Leveraged ETFs
Photo by SpaceX on Pexels

The party ended fast. SpaceX shares hit the public markets on June 2 at $120, surged to $180 within a week, and then crashed. As of Tuesday, they're trading at $108 — below the IPO price. For anyone who bought the hype and piled into leveraged ETFs, the hangover is brutal.

Take the Direxion Daily SpaceX Bull 2X Shares (ticker: SPAC). It promised twice the daily return of SpaceX stock. In the first week, that worked beautifully: a 50% stock gain turned into a 100% ETF gain. But then the stock dropped 40% from its peak. The ETF? Down 64%. That's not a typo. Leverage works both ways, and when it goes against you, it doesn't just hurt — it destroys.

How Leveraged ETFs Eat Your Lunch

Leveraged ETFs use derivatives and debt to amplify daily returns. They rebalance every day. That's the killer. In a steady uptrend, they compound gains. In a volatile market, they suffer from volatility decay — a mathematical drag that grinds down returns even if the stock ends flat.

“If you hold a 2x leveraged ETF for more than a day, you're not betting on the stock. You're betting on the path it takes to get there.” — David Nadig, ETF analyst

SpaceX's wild swings — up 15% one day, down 10% the next — are exactly the environment that destroys leveraged funds. The math is unforgiving: a 10% drop requires an 11% gain to break even on the stock. But a 2x leveraged fund? A 20% drop needs a 25% gain just to get back to zero. Over a month of chaos, that decay adds up fast.

Data from the first three weeks of trading show this clearly. While SpaceX stock went up 9% from its first-day close to its high, the Bull 2X ETF gained 65%. But from the high to the recent low, the stock fell 40%, and the ETF collapsed 63%. Those aren't rounding errors; they're a wealth incinerator.

Retail Investors Got Burned

The victims aren't quants or hedge funds. They're retail investors — the same crowd that drove GameStop and AMC to the moon. Reddit threads from last week show a pattern: users posting screenshots of 70%+ losses in SPAC, asking “should I hold or sell?” The answer, in most cases, is sell and don't look back.

One user, u/rocketman9000, bought $15,000 worth of SPAC at $82 on June 10. By June 17, it was worth $5,400. “I thought it was a sure thing,” he wrote. “Now I'm down 64% in a week. This is brutal.” He's not alone. The fund's assets under management have shrunk from $1.2 billion to $450 million in just three weeks — a stunning outflow that suggests many investors panicked and sold at the bottom.

The SEC Isn't Happy

This mess has caught the attention of regulators. On Monday, SEC Chair Gary Gensler issued a statement warning about the risks of single-stock leveraged ETFs, saying the agency is “closely monitoring” the products. “Investors may not fully understand that these funds reset daily and can suffer significant losses in volatile markets,” the statement read.

It's a polite way of saying: we told you so. The SEC approved these ETFs in 2025 over significant pushback from consumer advocates. At the time, critics argued they were little more than legalized gambling for retail traders. The SpaceX saga is proving them right.

Blame doesn't fall only on regulators. Financial influencers on TikTok and Instagram pumped these funds as “free money.” One video, posted the day SpaceX went public, showed a young man grinning under the caption “2X YOUR MONEY WITH THIS ONE WEIRD TRICK.” It now has a comments section full of people asking how to get their money back.

What Now for Space Fans?

SpaceX itself is a legitimate company with real revenue from launches and Starlink. But its stock is volatile — it's a single-company equity, not a diversified index. Betting on it with leverage is like trying to catch a falling knife while wearing roller skates.

If you're holding a leveraged SpaceX ETF, the best advice is simple: get out. The decay will only get worse if volatility continues. If you want to bet on SpaceX long-term, buy the common stock. It's boring. It won't double overnight. But it also won't vanish in a week.

“Never use a leveraged ETF as a long-term hold. It's a day-trading tool, period.” — Michael Khouw, CNBC contributor

SpaceX's IPO was a milestone — the first major space company to go public. The leveraged ETFs that followed were supposed to be a way for ordinary investors to amplify their gains. Instead, they've become a cautionary tale about what happens when Wall Street turns a single stock into a casino chip.

The rocket took off. Then it came back down. And a lot of people got burned.

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#spacex#leveraged-etfs#ipo#retail-investors#volatility
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